July 17, 2007

Tumbling Bonds, Great Debt

The big guys (J.P. and Golman, amongst others) are burdened with more debt that they can sell. This is indicative of the wider problems in the U.S. economy. We are a nation of debtors and spenders. It was only time that it caught up with us.

``The private equity firms, being very tough negotiators, are unlikely to let the banks off the hook, said Martin Fridson, chief executive officer of high-yield research firm FridsonVision LLC in New York. ``They'll say that's your problem and that's why we're paying you: To take risk.

As the market began to turn sour last month, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup Inc., Lehman and Wachovia Corp. had to buy $725 million of bonds that Goodlettsville, Tennessee-based Dollar General Corp. was selling to finance Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. purchase of the company for $6.9 billion. All of the securities firms are based in New York, except Wachovia, which is located in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Bonds Tumble

Those bonds are probably worth 94 cents on the dollar, or $43.5 million less than when they were sold on June 28, according to Justin Monteith, an analyst at high-yield research firm KDP Investment Advisors in Montpelier, Vermont. KKR completed the acquisition of Dollar General on July 9.

Bear Stearns Cos. strategists estimate that about $290 billion of deals still need to get funded, including those of Greenwood Village, Colorado-based credit-card processor First Data Corp. and energy company TXU Corp. of Dallas.

The question is ``how much yield are the brokerage firms going to have to eat, said Hintz, who is now an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. in New York. ``What they've committed to is not current trading rates in the market. If I have a problem it doesn't mean I can't place the problem, but it's going to cause a mark-to-market loss.





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